Prediction of extreme floods in the eastern Central Andes based on a complex networks approach.

  title={Prediction of extreme floods in the eastern Central Andes based on a complex networks approach.},
  author={Niklas Boers and Bodo Bookhagen and Henrique M. J. Barbosa and Norbert Marwan and J. Kurths and Jos{\'e} Ant{\^o}nio Marengo},
  journal={Nature communications},
Changing climatic conditions have led to a significant increase in the magnitude and frequency of extreme rainfall events in the Central Andes of South America. These events are spatially extensive and often result in substantial natural hazards for population, economy and ecology. Here we develop a general framework to predict extreme events by introducing the concept of network divergence on directed networks derived from a non-linear synchronization measure. We apply our method to real-time… 

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