Prediction of a Red Nova Outburst in KIC 9832227

@article{Molnar2017PredictionOA,
  title={Prediction of a Red Nova Outburst in KIC 9832227},
  author={Lawrence Alan Molnar and Daniel M. Van Noord and Karen Kinemuchi and Jason P. Smolinski and Cara E. Alexander and Evan M. Cook and Byoungchan Jang and Henry A. Kobulnicky and Chris J. Spedden and Steven Dale Steenwyk},
  journal={The Astrophysical Journal},
  year={2017},
  volume={840}
}
We present the first identification of a candidate precursor for an imminent red nova. Our prediction is based on the example of the precursor to the red nova V1309 Sco, which was retrospectively found to be a contact binary with an exponentially decreasing period. We explore the use of this distinctive timing signature to identify precursors, developing the observational and analysis steps needed. We estimate that our Galaxy has roughly 1–10 observable precursors. Specifically, we lay out the… 
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