Prediction: Nonsense or Hope?

  title={Prediction: Nonsense or Hope?},
  author={Cyril H{\"o}schl},
  journal={British Journal of Psychiatry},
  pages={46 - 54}
  • C. Höschl
  • Published 1 September 1993
  • Psychology
  • British Journal of Psychiatry
Psychiatry and psychopharmacology are no longer aiming to make a decisive breakthrough at the end of the century. Rather than seeking explanations, research workers are looking for ‘predictions’. Three main types of prediction are emerging: a tautological, a heuristic, and an irrelevant one. Few predictions found in the recent literature can be marked as ‘logical’ ones. Nevertheless, predictions play two important roles: they generate new hypotheses that can be falsified in properly designed… 

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