Predicting the unpredictable

@article{Zabell2004PredictingTU,
  title={Predicting the unpredictable},
  author={S. L. Zabell},
  journal={Synthese},
  year={2004},
  volume={90},
  pages={205-232}
}
A major difficulty for currently existing theories of inductive inference involves the question of what to do when novel, unknown, or previously unsuspected phenomena occur. In this paper one particular instance of this difficulty is considered, the so-called sampling of species problem.The classical probabilistic theories of inductive inference due to Laplace, Johnson, de Finetti, and Carnap adopt a model of simple enumerative induction in which there are a prespecified number of types or… Expand
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