Predicting the consequences of carry-over effects for migratory populations.

  title={Predicting the consequences of carry-over effects for migratory populations.},
  author={D Ryan Norris and Caz M. Taylor},
  journal={Biology letters},
  volume={2 1},
Migratory animals present a unique challenge for predicting population size because they are influenced by events in multiple stages of the annual cycle that are separated by large geographic distances. Here, we develop a model that incorporates non-fatal carry-over effects to predict changes in population size and show how this can be integrated with predictive models of habitat loss and deterioration. Examples from Barn swallows, Greater snow geese and American redstarts show how carry-over… CONTINUE READING

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