Predicting the 30-year risk of cardiovascular disease: the framingham heart study.

  title={Predicting the 30-year risk of cardiovascular disease: the framingham heart study.},
  author={Michael J. Pencina and Ralph B. D'Agostino and Martin G. Larson and Joseph M. Massaro and Ramachandran S. Vasan},
  volume={119 24},
BACKGROUND Present cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction algorithms were developed for a < or =10-year follow up period. Clustering of risk factors at younger ages and increasing life expectancy suggest the need for longer-term risk prediction tools. METHODS AND RESULTS We prospectively followed 4506 participants (2333 women) of the Framingham Offspring cohort aged 20 to 59 years and free of CVD and cancer at baseline examination in 1971-1974 for the development of "hard" CVD events… CONTINUE READING
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