Predicting soccer matches after unconscious and conscious thought as a function of expertise.

@article{Dijksterhuis2009PredictingSM,
  title={Predicting soccer matches after unconscious and conscious thought as a function of expertise.},
  author={A P Dijksterhuis and Maarten W. Bos and Andries R. van der Leij and Rick B. van Baaren},
  journal={Psychological science},
  year={2009},
  volume={20 11},
  pages={1381-7}
}
In two experiments, we investigated the effects of expertise and mode of thought on the accuracy of people's predictions. Both experts and nonexperts predicted the results of soccer matches after conscious thought, after unconscious thought, or immediately. In Experiment 1, experts who thought unconsciously outperformed participants in all other conditions. Whereas unconscious thinkers showed a correlation between expertise and accuracy of prediction, no such relation was observed for conscious… CONTINUE READING

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