Predicting future maintenance cost, and how we're doing it wrong

@article{Glass2002PredictingFM,
  title={Predicting future maintenance cost, and how we're doing it wrong},
  author={Robert L. Glass},
  journal={IEEE Software},
  year={2002},
  volume={19},
  pages={112-113}
}
I believe (with Loyal Opposition passion !) that the software engineering field has many fallacies. Here I look at one with interesting implications: The way to predict future software maintenance cost, and to make software product replacement decisions, is to look at past cost data. I've seen this fallacy engaged in by almost everyone in the field, particularly managers of legacy software , and even more especially researchers looking into maintenance issues. Why do I think this is a fallacy… CONTINUE READING