• Corpus ID: 231749563

Predicting Propensity to Vote with Machine Learning

@article{pollard2021PredictingPT,
  title={Predicting Propensity to Vote with Machine Learning},
  author={Rebecca D. pollard and Sara M. Pollard and Scott Streit},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2021},
  volume={abs/2102.01535}
}
We demonstrate that machine learning enables the capability to infer an individual's propensity to vote from their past actions and attributes. This is useful for microtargeting voter outreach, voter education and get-out-the-vote (GOVT) campaigns. Political scientists developed increasingly sophisticated techniques for estimating election outcomes since the late 1940s. Two prior studies similarly used machine learning to predict individual future voting behavior. We built a machine learning… 

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