Corpus ID: 1060968

Predicting Offensive Play Types in the National Football League

@inproceedings{Lee2016PredictingOP,
  title={Predicting Offensive Play Types in the National Football League},
  author={Peter Lee and Ryan Chen and V. Lakshman},
  year={2016}
}
In this paper, we apply tools from machine learning to the burgeoning field of football analytics and predict whether a team will run or pass the ball on a given play. After training four different classification algorithms on data from the 2012-2014 NFL seasons, we developed an ensemble method that combines the predictions of our two best-performing individual models and achieved a test accuracy of 75.9%, improving upon previously published results. We also explored general trends in offensive… Expand
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