Predictability of a Mediterranean Tropical-Like Storm Downstream of the Extratropical Transition of Hurricane Helene (2006)

@article{Pantillon2013PredictabilityOA,
  title={Predictability of a Mediterranean Tropical-Like Storm Downstream of the Extratropical Transition of Hurricane Helene (2006)},
  author={Florian Pantillon and Jean-Pierre Chaboureau and Patrick Mascart and Christine Lac},
  journal={Monthly Weather Review},
  year={2013},
  volume={141},
  pages={1943-1962}
}
The extratropical transition (ET) of a tropical cyclone is known as a source of forecast uncertainty that can propagate far downstream. The present study focuses on the predictability of a Mediterranean tropical-like storm (Medicane) on 26 September 2006 downstream of the ET of Hurricane Helene from 22 to 25 September. While the development of the Medicane was missed in the deterministic forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) initialized before and during… 

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