Potential of environmental models to predict meningitis epidemics in Africa.

  title={Potential of environmental models to predict meningitis epidemics in Africa.},
  author={Madeleine C. Thomson and Anna M. Molesworth and Mamoudou Harouna Djingarey and K Robert Yam{\'e}ogo and François P B{\'e}langer and Luis E Cuevas},
  journal={Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH},
  volume={11 6},
OBJECTIVES Meningococcal meningitis is a major public health problem in Africa. This report explores the potential for climate/environmental models to predict the probability of occurrence of meningitis epidemics. METHODS Time series of meningitis cases by month and district were obtained for Burkina Faso, Niger, Mali and Togo (536 district-years). Environmental information (1989-1999) for the continent [soil and land-cover type, aerosol index, vegetation greenness (NDVI), cold cloud duration… CONTINUE READING


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