Potential for large outbreaks of Ebola virus disease

  title={Potential for large outbreaks of Ebola virus disease},
  author={Anton Camacho and A J Kucharski and Sebastian Funk and Joel G. Breman and Peter K. Piot and W. John Edmunds},
Outbreaks of Ebola virus can cause substantial morbidity and mortality in affected regions. The largest outbreak of Ebola to date is currently underway in West Africa, with 3944 cases reported as of 5th September 2014. To develop a better understanding of Ebola transmission dynamics, we revisited data from the first known Ebola outbreak, which occurred in 1976 in Zaire (now Democratic Republic of Congo). By fitting a mathematical model to time series stratified by disease onset, outcome and… CONTINUE READING
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SSM: Inference for time series analysis with State Space Models. arXiv 1307.5626v4

  • J. Dureau, S. Ballesteros, T. Bogich
  • 2013
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