Popular Myths About Popular Vote-Electoral College Splits

  title={Popular Myths About Popular Vote-Electoral College Splits},
  author={Brian J. Gaines},
  journal={PS: Political Science \& Politics},
  pages={71 - 75}
  • Brian J. Gaines
  • Published 1 March 2001
  • Political Science
  • PS: Political Science & Politics
An official recount was required to determine the winner of a knifeedged election. A Senate candidate's untimely death resulted, surprisingly and circuitously, in the Democrats picking up an extra Senate seat. Amidst widespread allegations of fraud and irregularities, the winner of the popular vote in the presidential election failed for the first time since 1888 to win the decisive electoral-college vote. And thus was foiled the vice president's bid to emerge from the shadow of the president… 
On the Razor's Edge: The Forecast of the Primary Model
  • H. Norpoth
  • Political Science
    PS: Political Science & Politics
  • 2008
With another Bush looking weak, many Democrats are feeling good about their prospects in November, even without the dream of a job in the White House for themselves. Yet this time, a Bush won't be on
Exploring Unpopular Presidential Elections
There have been several instances in our nation's history in which the presidential candidate who received the most popular votes did not win the presidency. Using a principal components analysis of
A Bayesian Prediction Model for the United States Presidential Election
AbstractEvery four years, it has become a popular pastime for political pundits to predict the winnerof the United States Presidential election. The proliferation of polling data, coupled withthe
A Bayesian Prediction Model for the U.S. Presidential Election
It has become a popular pastime for political pundits and scholars alike to predict the winner of the U.S. presidential election. Although forecasting has now quite a history, we argue that the
A Calamitous Compact
ABSTRACT The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (joined so far by ten states and DC) would replace the current presidential-election system, based on the electoral college and the
Inversions in Us Presidential Elections: 1836-2016
Inversions—in which the popular vote winner loses the election— have occurred in four US presidential races. We show that rather than being statistical flukes, inversions have been ex ante likely
Are Presidential Inversions Inevitable? Comparing Eight Counterfactual Rules for Electing the U.S. President*
My research focuses on electoral representation, the convergence of legal and empirical social science, and special emphasis on the geographic constraints and spatial aspects of politics. In addition
Election Inversions, Coalitions and Proportional Representation: Examples of Voting Paradoxes in Danish Government Formations
When collective choices are made in more than one round and with different groups of decision makers, so-called ‘election inversions’ may take place, where each round produces different majority
Liberty and Democracy Through the Administrative State: A Critique of the Roberts Court’s Political Theory
  • B. Emerson
  • Political Science, Law
    SSRN Electronic Journal
  • 2021
The values of liberty and democracy repeatedly arise in recent Supreme Court opinions on administrative law. The conservative Justices have argued that the power vested in government agencies


The Electoral College Primer
Most Americans remain only dimly aware of the operations of the electoral college and feel little concern over a system that seems to be working. Yet our archaic electoral college has the potential
Party Responsibility and Loyalty: New Rules in the Democratic Party
  • A. Holtzman
  • Political Science
    The Journal of Politics
  • 1960
D URING THE PERIOD 1953-1956, the leadership of the Democratic Party grappled with the problem of resolving the "loyalty oath" issue arising out of the previous national convention. The compromise