Polls, the Press, and Political Participation: The Effects of Anticipated Election Closeness on Voter Turnout

@article{Bursztyn2017PollsTP,
  title={Polls, the Press, and Political Participation: The Effects of Anticipated Election Closeness on Voter Turnout},
  author={Leonardo Bursztyn and Davide Cantoni and Patricia Funk and Noam Yuchtman},
  journal={Political Behavior: Voting & Public Opinion eJournal},
  year={2017}
}
We exploit naturally occurring variation in the existence, closeness, and dissemination of pre-election polls to identify a causal effect of anticipated election closeness on voter turnout in Swiss referenda. Closer elections are associated with greater turnout only when polls exist. Examining within-election variation in newspaper reporting on polls across cantons, we find that close polls increase turnout significantly more where newspapers report on them most. This holds examining only… Expand
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