Polarization, Demographic Change, and White Flight from the Democratic Party

@article{Zingher2018PolarizationDC,
  title={Polarization, Demographic Change, and White Flight from the Democratic Party},
  author={Joshua N. Zingher},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={2018},
  volume={80},
  pages={860 - 872}
}
Whites have become less likely to support the Democratic Party. I show that this shift is being driven by two mechanisms. The first mechanism is the process of ideological sorting. The Democratic Party has lost support among conservative whites because the relationships between partisanship, voting behavior, and policy orientations have strengthened. The second mechanism relates to demographic changes. The growth of liberal minority populations has shifted the median position on economic issues… Expand
View on U Chicago Press
fs.wp.odu.edu
31 Citations
Background Citations
4
Results Citations
1

31 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

Labor Unions and White Democratic Partisanship
The Democratic Party’s declining support among white voters is a defining feature of contemporary American politics. Extant research has emphasized factors such as elite polarization and demographic… Expand
An analysis of the changing social bases of America's political parties: Group support in the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections
Abstract In this note I address two questions: 1.) what were the group bases of the U.S. electoral coalitions in 2012 and 2016? 2.) how have the group bases of support changed in the past decades? I… Expand
Dangerously Divided: How Race and Class Shape Winning and Losing in American Politics
As America has become more racially diverse and economic inequality has increased, American politics has also become more clearly divided by race and less clearly divided by class. In this landmark… Expand
The Political Meaning of Whiteness for Liberals and Conservatives
Abstract This study examines new open-ended and closed-ended survey responses among white liberals and conservatives in the US to assess the role they think their racial group membership plays in how… Expand
Dixie’s Drivers: Core Values and the Southern Republican Realignment
Scholarly accounts attribute the American South’s historic partisan transformation that began in the 1960s to a combination of political and economic factors, but no prior work emphasizes the… Expand
How Social Group Memberships Interact to Shape Partisanship, Policy Orientations, and Vote Choice
Individuals are members of multiple social groups (race, class, religion, etc.). Intersectionality theory contends we cannot understand the influence of a group in isolation because group identities… Expand
Does polarization affect even the inattentive? Assessing the relationship between political sophistication, policy orientations, and elite cues
Abstract In this paper we focus on how individuals’ level of political sophistication conditions how they respond to growing elite polarization. The party coalitions in the electorate have become… Expand
On the measurement of social class and its role in shaping white vote choice in the 2016 U.S. presidential election
Abstract In this paper, I assess how social class influenced white vote choice in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. I use 2016 ANES data to create a measure of class that is based on an… Expand
Exploring the Relationship Between Housing Downturns and Partisan Elections: Neighborhood-Level Evidence from Maricopa County, Arizona
An understudied outcome of foreclosure crises is how their aftershocks affect partisan elections. Two hypotheses are that partisan shifts may occur in neighborhoods with concentrated foreclosures… Expand
Who Wins on Policy?
When President Donald Trump signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, his signature put into effect one of the biggest tax cuts in the history of American democracy. The act that Trump and the… Expand
...
1
2
3
4
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 63 REFERENCES
Class, Race Issues, and Declining White Support for the Democratic Party in the South
The Democratic Party in the South has experienced a major loss of white voters in recent decades. Two major hypotheses have been proposed to explain this change. The dominant explanation in recent… Expand
On Demographic Change and Competitive Equilibrium in American Politics
In their seminal analysis of American elections, Stokes and Iversen (1962) demonstrated that each party’s share of the vote never strays very far or very long from a competitive equilibrium, which… Expand
Polarization and the Decline of the American Floating Voter
The observed rate of Americans voting for a different party across successive presidential elections has never been lower. This trend is largely explained by the clarity of party differences reducing… Expand
Exploring the Bases of Partisanship in the American Electorate: Social Identity vs. Ideology
This article uses data from the 1952-2004 American National Election Studies and the 2004 U.S. National Exit Poll to compare the influence of ideology and membership in social groups on party… Expand
The Partisan Sort: How Liberals Became Democrats and Conservatives Became Republicans
As Washington elites drifted toward ideological poles over the past few decades, did ordinary Americans follow their lead? In "The Partisan Sort", Matthew Levendusky reveals that we have responded to… Expand
An analysis of the changing social bases of America's political parties: Group support in the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections
Abstract In this note I address two questions: 1.) what were the group bases of the U.S. electoral coalitions in 2012 and 2016? 2.) how have the group bases of support changed in the past decades? I… Expand
Immigration, Latinos, and White Partisan Politics: The New Democratic Defection
Immigration is profoundly changing the racial demographics of America. In this article, we seek to understand if and how immigration and increasing racial diversity are shaping the partisan politics… Expand
Media Framing and Partisan Identity: The Case of Immigration Coverage and White Macropartisanship
Abstract Laboratory studies frequently find that framing changes individual issue positions. But few real-world studies have demonstrated framing induced shifts in aggregate political opinions, let… Expand
From on High: The Effect of Elite Polarization on Mass Attitudes and Behaviors: 1972–2012
There is widespread agreement that American political elites have become increasingly ideologically polarized. However, there is disagreement about how the mass electorate has responded to the… Expand
Ideological Structure and Consistency in the Age of Polarization
Decades of research establish that political elites hold more ideologically consistent and structured policy preferences than ordinary citizens. Since the late 1970s, American politics, at the elite… Expand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...