PolSIRD: Modeling Epidemic Spread Under Intervention Policies

  title={PolSIRD: Modeling Epidemic Spread Under Intervention Policies},
  author={Nitin Kamra and Yizhou Zhang and Sirisha Rambhatla and Chuizheng Meng and Yan Liu},
  journal={Journal of Healthcare Informatics Research},
  pages={1 - 18}
  • Nitin Kamra, Yizhou Zhang, +2 authors Yan Liu
  • Published 2021
  • Computer Science, Medicine, Biology, Physics
  • Journal of Healthcare Informatics Research
Epidemic spread in a population is traditionally modeled via compartmentalized models which represent the free evolution of disease in the absence of any intervention policies. In addition, these models assume full observability of disease cases and do not account for under-reporting. We present a mathematical model, namely PolSIRD, which accounts for the under-reporting by introducing an observation mechanism. It also captures the effects of intervention policies on the disease spread… Expand

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