Augmenting Adjusted Plus-Minus in Soccer with FIFA Ratings
- Computer Science
The key idea is recasting APM into a Bayesian framework, and incorporating FIFA ratings into the prior distribution, and it is shown that Augmented APM predicts better than both standard APM and a model using only FIFA ratings.
An extended regularized adjusted plus-minus analysis for lineup management in basketball using play-by-play data
- BusinessIMA Journal of Management Mathematics
In this work we analyse basketball play-by-play data in order to evaluate the efficiency of different five-man lineups employed by teams. Starting from the adjusted plus-minus framework, we present…
A comprehensive review of plus-minus ratings for evaluating individual players in team sports
- EducationInt. J. Comput. Sci. Sport
A comprehensive review of contributions to plus-minus ratings in later years is presented, pointing out some key developments and showing the richness of the mathematical models developed.
A football player rating system
The objective of this work was the development of a new rating system for determining the playing strength of football players using the Elo algorithm, which has established itself as an objective and adaptive rating system in numerous individual sports and has been expanded in accordance with the requirements of team sports.
How Soccer Players’ Box Score Statistics Effect on their Rating and Market Value
This paper discusses the application of advance statistics in soccer. In order to valuate the performance and value of soccer players, we introduce more advance statistics and try to detect the…
A Skellam regression model for quantifying positional value in soccer
- EconomicsJournal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
This work develops an open framework that can estimate the expected contribution of a soccer player to his team’s winning chances using publicly available data and translates the model to expected league points added above a replacement player (eLPAR).
A Fuzzy Framework to Evaluate Players' Performance in Handball
- Computer ScienceInt. J. Comput. Intell. Syst.
A novel approach based on fuzzy multi-criteria group decision-making tools for selecting those criteria that best represent the handball player’s performance in a match and for setting their relevance weights, which demonstrates being more appropriate for sports such as handball.
Moneyball in Offensive vs Defensive Actions in Soccer
There is an established tradition in soccer society, for both soccer fans and club managers to value forwards more than defensive players. However, the soccer rules imply an equally important role of…
Armchair fans: Modelling audience size for televised football matches
- BusinessEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Explainable expected goal models for performance analysis in football analytics
- Computer Science
This paper proposes an accurate expected goal model trained consisting of 315,430 shots from seven seasons between 2014-15 and 2020-21 of the top-five European football leagues and is the first paper that demonstrates a practical application of an explainable artificial intelligence tool aggregated profiles to explain a group of observations on an accurateexpected goal model for monitoring the team and player performance.
SHOWING 1-10 OF 50 REFERENCES
On the Development of a Soccer Player Performance Rating System for the English Premier League
The EA Sports Player Performance Index is a rating system for soccer players used in the top two tiers of soccer in England and attempts to rate all players using a single score, regardless of their playing specialty, based on player contributions to winning performances.
National Hockey League Skater Ratings Based upon All On-Ice Events: An Adjusted Minus/Plus Probability (AMPP) Approach
In this paper we present a new methodology for evaluating and comparing National Hockey League non-goalie performance based upon each play for which a given player on the ice. This methodology is…
An Expected Goals Model for Evaluating NHL Teams and Players
One difficulty with analyzing performance in hockey is the relatively low scoring rates compared to sports like basketball. Fenwick rating (shots plus missed shots) and Corsi rating (shots, missed…
A mixed effects model for identifying goal scoring ability of footballers
A model that can be used to identify the goal scoring ability of footballers is presented and it is found that this outperformance can be attributed, in some part, to the model's disaggregating a player's ability and chance that may have influenced his goal scoring statistic in the previous season.
An Improved Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players
The plus-minus statistic for NHL players is meant to be a measure of a player's offensive and defensive abilities. However, a player's plus-minus is highly dependent on the team he plays for, the…
Modelling the financial contribution of soccer players to their clubs
- EconomicsJournal of Sports Analytics
An objective player rating model is designed based on players’ contribution towards creating a positive goals differential for their team and a regression model is applied to predict match outcomes as a function of the players involved in a match.
Competing Process Hazard Function Models for Player Ratings in Ice Hockey
The scoring rate for each team as its own semi-Markov process, with hazard functions for each process that depend on the players on the ice, which yields offensive and defensive player ability ratings which take into account quality of teammates and opponents, the game situation, and other desired factors that themselves have a meaningful interpretation in terms of game outcomes.
Home ground advantage of individual clubs in English soccer
It is shown that for a balanced competition this is equivalent to a simple calculator method using only data from the final ladder and a paired home advantage is defined and shown to be linearly related to the distance between club grounds.
Estimating player contribution in hockey with regularized logistic regression
A regularized logistic regression model for evaluating player contributions in hockey shows that most players do not stand out as measurably strong contributors, reveals diamonds in the rough overlooked by earlier analyses, and argues that some of the highest paid players in the league are not making contributions worth their expense.
Total Hockey Rating (THoR): A comprehensive statistical rating of National Hockey League forwards and defensemen based upon all on-ice events
Hockey is a fluid sport with players frequently coming on and off the ice without the stoppage of play. It is also a relatively low scoring sport compared to other sports such as basketball. Both of…