Planning, personality, and prediction: The role of future focus in optimistic time predictions☆

@article{Buehler2003PlanningPA,
  title={Planning, personality, and prediction: The role of future focus in optimistic time predictions☆},
  author={R. Buehler and D. Griffin},
  journal={Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes},
  year={2003},
  volume={92},
  pages={80-90}
}
Abstract The present studies examined cognitive processes underlying the tendency to underestimate project completion times. Two experiments tested the hypothesis that people generate overly optimistic predictions, in part, because they focus narrowly on their future plans for the target task and thus neglect other useful sources of information. Consistent with the hypothesis, instructing participants to adopt a “future focus”—in which they generated concrete, specific plans for the task at… Expand

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