Phenomenological vs. biophysical models of thermal stress in aquatic eggs.

  title={Phenomenological vs. biophysical models of thermal stress in aquatic eggs.},
  author={Benjamin T Martin and Andrew Pike and Sara N John and Natnael Hamda and Jason Roberts and Steven T. Lindley and Eric M. Danner},
  journal={Ecology letters},
  volume={20 1},
Predicting species responses to climate change is a central challenge in ecology. These predictions are often based on lab-derived phenomenological relationships between temperature and fitness metrics. We tested one of these relationships using the embryonic stage of a Chinook salmon population. We parameterised the model with laboratory data, applied it to predict survival in the field, and found that it significantly underestimated field-derived estimates of thermal mortality. We used a… CONTINUE READING
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