• Corpus ID: 52279644

Periodicity in Movement Patterns Shapes Epidemic Risk in Urban Environments

  title={Periodicity in Movement Patterns Shapes Epidemic Risk in Urban Environments},
  author={Zhanwei Du and Spencer J. Fox and Petter Holme and Jiming Liu and Alison P. Galvani and L. Meyers},
Daily variation in human mobility modulates the speed and severity of emerging outbreaks, yet most epidemiological studies assume static contact patterns. With a highly mobile population exceeding 24 million people, Shanghai, China is a transportation hub at high risk for the importation and subsequent global propagation of infectious diseases. Here, we use a dynamic metapopulation model informed by hourly transit data for Shanghai to estimate epidemic risks across thousands of outbreak… 

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