• Corpus ID: 195209907

P . Turchin * SOCIAL TIPPING POINTS AND TREND REVERSALS : A HISTORICAL APPROACH

@inproceedings{Turchin2012PT,
  title={P . Turchin * SOCIAL TIPPING POINTS AND TREND REVERSALS : A HISTORICAL APPROACH},
  author={Peter Turchin},
  year={2012}
}
A useful approach to thinking about why outbreaks of political instability occur is to separate the causes into structural conditions and triggering events. Specific triggers of political upheaval, such as self-immolation of a Tunisian fruit vendor, are very hard, perhaps impossible to predict. On the other hand, structural pressures build up slowly and predictably, and are amenable to analysis and forecasting. The question is how do we gain a better understanding and, perhaps, ability to… 

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