Opening a Pandora ’ s Box : Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035

  title={Opening a Pandora ’ s Box : Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035},
  author={Jean Four{\'e}},
Economic projections for the world economy, particularly in relation to the construction of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) baselines, are generally rather conservative and take scant account of the wide range of possible evolutions authorized by the underlying economic mechanisms considered. Against this background, we adopt an ‘open mind’ to the projection of world trade trajectories. Taking a 2035 horizon, we examine how world trade patterns will be shaped by the changing comparative… CONTINUE READING


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