Once Upon a Crime: Towards Crime Prediction from Demographics and Mobile Data

@inproceedings{Bogomolov2014OnceUA,
  title={Once Upon a Crime: Towards Crime Prediction from Demographics and Mobile Data},
  author={Andrey Bogomolov and Bruno Lepri and Jacopo Staiano and Nuria Oliver and Fabio Pianesi and Alex Pentland},
  booktitle={ICMI},
  year={2014}
}
In this paper, we present a novel approach to predict crime in a geographic space from multiple data sources, in particular mobile phone and demographic data. The main contribution of the proposed approach lies in using aggregated and anonymized human behavioral data derived from mobile network activity to tackle the crime prediction problem. While previous research efforts have used either background historical knowledge or offenders' profiling, our findings support the hypothesis that… CONTINUE READING
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  • In our experimental results with real crime data from London we obtain an accuracy of almost 70% when predicting whether a specific area in the city will be a crime hotspot or not.

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