On the testing of seismicity models

  title={On the testing of seismicity models},
  author={George M. Molchan},
  journal={Acta Geophysica},
  • G. Molchan
  • Published 18 August 2011
  • Geology
  • Acta Geophysica
Recently a likelihood-based methodology has been developed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) with a view to testing and ranking seismicity models. We analyze this approach from the standpoint of possible applications to hazard analysis. We arrive at the conclusion that model testing can be made more efficient by focusing on some integral characteristics of the seismicity distribution. This can be achieved either in the likelihood framework but with… 

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