On the prediction of the evolution of libre software projects

@article{Herraiz2007OnTP,
  title={On the prediction of the evolution of libre software projects},
  author={Israel Herraiz and Jes{\'u}s M. Gonz{\'a}lez-Barahona and Gregorio Robles and Daniel M. Germ{\'a}n},
  journal={2007 IEEE International Conference on Software Maintenance},
  year={2007},
  pages={405-414}
}
Libre (free / open source) software development is a complex phenomenon. Many actors (core developers, casual contributors, bug reporters, patch submitters, users, etc.), in many cases volunteers, interact in complex patterns without the constrains of formal hierarchical structures or organizational ties. Understanding this complex behavior with enough detail to build explanatory models suitable for prediction is an open challenge, and few results have been published to date in this area… CONTINUE READING
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