On the distribution of runs scored and batting strategy in test cricket

@article{Scarf2011OnTD,
  title={On the distribution of runs scored and batting strategy in test cricket},
  author={P. Scarf and Xin Shi and Sohail Akhtar},
  journal={Journal of The Royal Statistical Society Series A-statistics in Society},
  year={2011},
  volume={174},
  pages={471-497}
}
Negative binomial distributions are fitted to partnership scores and innings scores in test cricket. For partnership scores, we use a parametric model that allows us to consider run rate as a covariate in the distribution of runs scored and hence to use run rate as a surrogate for batting strategy. Then we describe the implied influence of run rate on match outcome probabilities given the state of the match at some point during the third innings; we refer to such a point in the match as the… Expand
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