On concepts and methods in horizon scanning: lessons from initiating policy dialogues on emerging issues

@article{Amanatidou2012OnCA,
  title={On concepts and methods in horizon scanning: lessons from initiating policy dialogues on emerging issues},
  author={Effie Amanatidou and Maurits Butter and Vicente Carabias and Totti K{\"o}nn{\"o}l{\"a} and Miriam J. S. Leis and Ozcan Saritas and Petra Schaper-Rinkel and Victor van Rij},
  journal={Science and Public Policy},
  year={2012},
  volume={39},
  pages={208-221}
}
Future-oriented technology analysis methods can play a significant role in enabling early warning signal detection and pro-active policy action which will help to better prepare policy- and decision-makers in today's complex and inter-dependent environments. This paper analyses the use of different horizon scanning approaches and methods as applied in the Scanning for Emerging Science and Technology Issues project. A comparative analysis is provided as well as a brief evaluation the needs of… 

Figures and Tables from this paper

Influencing the Future: Open Access Horizon Scanning in Africa?

Horizon Scanning is a Futures methodology that aims to identify weak signals in the environment, and use these to inform strategic planning. Horizon Scanning is a people-driven process, which may or

Implementing Foresight Study Results in Policy Action and Measures: EU Experience

This chapter considers the development of European Union strategic foresight activity, This activity – in particular the role of the expert groups in helping to set European vision and policy and to

Abstract of Title

While many technology assessment (TA) bodies engage in horizon scanning activities, identifying relevant issues and topics in TA usually is demand-orientated (calls, project requests) and individual

Trend monitoring for linking science and strategy

The present paper attempts to test the hypothesis that both science and strategy affect each other and this linkage can be investigated quantitatively, and is built on a quantitative trend monitoring process drawing on semantic analysis of large amount of textual data and text mining tools.

Limits and benefits of participatory agenda setting for research and innovation

Current governance of science, technology and innovation (STI) faces tough challenges to meet demands arising from complex issues such as societal challenges or targets, e.g. the United Nations’

Coping with a fast-changing world: Towards new systems of future-oriented technology analysis

Transformations linked to disruptive events are causing a shift in future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) activities from individual large-scale foresight actions to smaller in-house exercises and
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 34 REFERENCES

Joint horizon scanning: identifying common strategic choices and questions for knowledge

Over the past decade, horizon scanning has been recognised as part of forward-looking government processes in a number of industrialised countries. It helps policy-makers in addressing the diversity

Facing the Future: Time for the EU to meet Global Challenges

What will the world look like in 2025? What are the possible future disruptive global challenges? And how can the EU position itself to take an active role in shaping a response to them? This

Scientific Nonknowledge and Its Political Dynamics: The Cases of Agri-Biotechnology and Mobile Phoning

While in the beginning of the environmental debate, conflicts over environmental and technological issues had primarily been understood in terms of ‘‘risk’’, over the past two decades the relevance

Horizon scanning: monitoring plausible and desirable futures

Horizon scanning is a foresight tool that is created to think, debate and shape the future in the direction of societal desires in a systematic way to development of more resilient policies and research agenda-setting.

Methods for collaboratively identifying research priorities and emerging issues in science and policy

1. There is a widely recognized gap between the data generated by researchers and the information required by policy makers. In an effort to bridge the gap between conservation policy and science, we

Environmental scanning as information seeking and organizational learning

This work analyzes organizational learning processes by considering the sense making, knowledge creating and decision making processes at work in each mode of scanning.

The future sign and its three dimensions