Corpus ID: 235828920

On a kinetic opinion formation model for pre-election polling

  title={On a kinetic opinion formation model for pre-election polling},
  author={Bertram During and Oliver Wright},
Motivated by recent successes in model-based pre-election polling, we propose a kinetic model for opinion formation which includes voter demographics and socio-economic factors like age, sex, ethnicity, education level, income and other measurable factors like behaviour in previous elections or referenda as a key driver in the opinion formation dynamics. The model is based on Toscani’s kinetic opinion formation model [1] and the leader-follower model of Düring et al. [2], and leads to a system… Expand

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