On Extrapolating Past the Range of Observed Data When Making Statistical Predictions in Ecology

  title={On Extrapolating Past the Range of Observed Data When Making Statistical Predictions in Ecology},
  author={Paul B. Conn and Devin S. Johnson and Peter L. Boveng and Thierry Boulinier},
  booktitle={PloS one},
Ecologists are increasingly using statistical models to predict animal abundance and occurrence in unsampled locations. The reliability of such predictions depends on a number of factors, including sample size, how far prediction locations are from the observed data, and similarity of predictive covariates in locations where data are gathered to locations where predictions are desired. In this paper, we propose extending Cook's notion of an independent variable hull (IVH), developed originally… CONTINUE READING
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