Ocean heat content for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting and its impact on storm surge

  title={Ocean heat content for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting and its impact on storm surge},
  author={I-I Lin and Gustavo Go{\~n}i and John A. Knaff and Cristina Forbes and M. M. Ali},
  journal={Natural Hazards},
Accurate tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts are vital to storm surge prediction and risk management. However, current cyclone intensity forecast skill is deficient, especially for rapid, unexpected intensification events. These sudden intensification events could be catastrophic if they occur just prior to making landfall in heavily populated and storm surge-vulnerable regions of the world. New satellite altimetry observations have revealed that oceanic subsurface warm features such… 
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