OPERATIONAL EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING. State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization

  title={OPERATIONAL EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING. State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization},
  author={Thomas H. Jordan and Yun‐tai Chen and Paolo Gasparini and Ra{\'u}l Madariaga and Ian G. Main and Warner Marzocchi and Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos and Gennady A. Sobolev and Koshun Yamaoka and Jochen Zschau},
  journal={Annals of Geophysics},
Following the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake, the Dipartimento della Protezione Civile Italiana (DPC), appointed an International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF) to report on the current state of knowledge of short-term prediction and forecasting of tectonic earthquakes and indicate guidelines for utilization of possible forerunners of large earthquakes to drive civil protection actions, including the use of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in the wake of a large… 

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