ON THE LOW FALSE POSITIVE PROBABILITIES OF KEPLER PLANET CANDIDATES
@article{Morton2011ONTL,
title={ON THE LOW FALSE POSITIVE PROBABILITIES OF KEPLER PLANET CANDIDATES},
author={T. Morton and J. Johnson},
journal={The Astrophysical Journal},
year={2011},
volume={738},
pages={170}
}We present a framework to conservatively estimate the probability that any particular planet-like transit signal observed by the Kepler mission is in fact a planet, prior to any ground-based follow-up efforts. We use Monte Carlo methods based on stellar population synthesis and Galactic structure models, and report false positive probabilities (FPPs) for every Kepler Object of Interest, assuming a 20% intrinsic occurrence rate of close-in planets in the radius range 0.5 R_⊕ 10% to <1%. Since… CONTINUE READING
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