Non-linearity and Expectations in Niche-Development Trajectories: Ups and Downs in Dutch Biogas Development (1973-2003)

@article{Geels2006NonlinearityAE,
  title={Non-linearity and Expectations in Niche-Development Trajectories: Ups and Downs in Dutch Biogas Development (1973-2003)},
  author={Frank W. Geels and Rob P. J. M. Raven},
  journal={Techn. Analysis & Strat. Manag.},
  year={2006},
  volume={18},
  pages={375-392}
}
Non-linearity and changes in the direction of technological trajectories, are related to changes in cognitive rules and expectations that guide technical search and development activities. To explain such changes, the article uses the literature on niche development, which highlights interactions between learning processes, network building and expectations. A long-term case study on Dutch biogas development illustrates how these interactions explain non-linearity, but the case study also shows… CONTINUE READING
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