New forecasting methodology indicates more disease and earlier mortality ahead for today's younger Americans.

@article{Reither2011NewFM,
  title={New forecasting methodology indicates more disease and earlier mortality ahead for today's younger Americans.},
  author={Eric N. Reither and S. Jay Olshansky and Yang Yang},
  journal={Health affairs},
  year={2011},
  volume={30 8},
  pages={1562-8}
}
Traditional methods of projecting population health statistics, such as estimating future death rates, can give inaccurate results and lead to inferior or even poor policy decisions. A new "three-dimensional" method of forecasting vital health statistics is more accurate because it takes into account the delayed effects of the health risks being accumulated by today's younger generations. Applying this forecasting technique to the US obesity epidemic suggests that future death rates and health… CONTINUE READING

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