Natural variability , radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled

  title={Natural variability , radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled},
  author={Markus Huber and Reto Knutti},
Global mean surface warming over the past 15 years or so has been less than in earlier decades and than simulated by most climatemodels1.Natural variability2–4, a reduced radiative forcing5–7, a smaller warming response to atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations8,9 and coverage bias in the observations10 have been identified as potential causes. However, the explanations of the so-called ‘warming hiatus’ remain fragmented and the implications for long-term temperature projections are unclear… CONTINUE READING


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