Corpus ID: 233481477

Most Expected Winner: An Interpretation of Winners over Uncertain Voter Preferences

@article{Ping2021MostEW,
  title={Most Expected Winner: An Interpretation of Winners over Uncertain Voter Preferences},
  author={Haoyue Ping and Julia Stoyanovich},
  journal={ArXiv},
  year={2021},
  volume={abs/2105.00082}
}
It remains an open question how to determine the winner of an election given incomplete or uncertain voter preferences. One solution is to assume some probability space for the voting profile and declare the candidates having the best chance of winning to be the (co-)winners. We refer to this as the Most Probable Winner (MPW). In this paper, we propose an alternative winner interpretation for positional scoring rules — the Most Expected Winner (MEW), based on the expected performance of the… Expand

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