More than wishful thinking : Causes and consequences of voters ’ electoral expectations about parties and coalitions

@inproceedings{Meffert2009MoreTW,
  title={More than wishful thinking : Causes and consequences of voters ’ electoral expectations about parties and coalitions},
  author={Michael F. Meffert and Sascha Huber and Thomas Gschwend and Franz Urban Pappi},
  year={2009}
}
Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters’ expectations are investigated. First, we identify and test several factors that influence the overall accuracy or quality of voters’ expectations. Second, the phenomenon of “wishful thinking” is tested and confirmed for expectations about the electoral performance of individual parties and coalitions. Finally, two mechanisms how… CONTINUE READING

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