Monte Carlo estimation of the probability of causal contacts between communicating civilizations

@article{Lares2020MonteCE,
  title={Monte Carlo estimation of the probability of causal contacts between communicating civilizations},
  author={M. Lares and J. Funes and L. Gramajo},
  journal={International Journal of Astrobiology},
  year={2020},
  volume={19},
  pages={393 - 405}
}
Abstract In this work we address the problem of estimating the probabilities of causal contacts between civilizations in the Galaxy. We make no assumptions regarding the origin and evolution of intelligent life. We simply assume a network of causally connected nodes. These nodes refer somehow to intelligent agents with the capacity of receiving and emitting electromagnetic signals. Here we present a three-parametric statistical Monte Carlo model of the network in a simplified sketch of the… Expand
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It is well known that the chances of success of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence depend on the longevity of technological civilizations or, more broadly, on the duration of the signs ofExpand

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