Modelling the dynamics of support for a right-wing populist party: the case of UKIP

  title={Modelling the dynamics of support for a right-wing populist party: the case of UKIP},
  author={Harold Clarke and Paul Whiteley and Walt Borges and David Sanders and Marianne C. Stewart},
  journal={Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties},
  pages={135 - 154}
ABSTRACT Similar to a number of other right-wing populist parties in Europe, Great Britain's United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) has experienced increased public support in recent years. Using aggregate data from monthly national surveys conducted between April 2004 and April 2014, time series analyses demonstrate that the dynamics of UKIP support were influenced by a combination of spatial and valence issues. A spatial issue, Euroscepticism, was fundamental, with UKIP support moving in… 

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