Modeling trends in HIV incidence among homosexual men in Australia 1995-2006.

@article{Clements2004ModelingTI,
  title={Modeling trends in HIV incidence among homosexual men in Australia 1995-2006.},
  author={Mark S. Clements and Garrett Prestage and Andrew Edwin Grulich and Paul G Van de Ven and Susan C. Kippax and Matthew G. Law},
  journal={Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes},
  year={2004},
  volume={35 4},
  pages={401-6}
}
BACKGROUND Previous mathematical models have indicated that any decrease in HIV incidence in homosexual men due to decreased infectiousness from antiretroviral treatment (ARV) may be offset by modest increases in unsafe sex. The aims of this study were to assess the effects of ARV use and increasing unprotected anal intercourse with casual partners (UAIC) in homosexual men on HIV incidence during 1995-2001 and to project HIV incidence depending on trends in ARV use and UAIC. METHODS A… CONTINUE READING

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