Modeling the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Population in Australia: A Probabilistic Analysis

@article{Eshragh2020ModelingTD,
  title={Modeling the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Population in Australia: A Probabilistic Analysis},
  author={Ali Eshragh and Saed Alizamir and Peter Howley and Elizabeth Stojanovski},
  journal={arXiv: Applications},
  year={2020}
}
The novel Corona Virus COVID-19 arrived on Australian shores around 25 January 2020. This paper presents a novel method of dynamically modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia with a high degree of accuracy and in a timely manner using limited data; a valuable resource that can be used to guide government decision-making on societal restrictions on a daily and/or weekly basis. The "partially-observable stochastic process" used in this study predicts not only the future actual… 
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