Modeling a century of citation distributions

@article{Wallace2009ModelingAC,
  title={Modeling a century of citation distributions},
  author={Matthew L. Wallace and Vincent Larivi{\`e}re and Yves Gingras},
  journal={J. Informetrics},
  year={2009},
  volume={3},
  pages={296-303}
}
The prevalence of uncited papers or of highly cited papers, with respect to the bulk of publications, provides important clues as to the dynamics of scientific research. Using 25 million papers and 600 million references from the Web of Science over the 1900–2006 period, this paper proposes a simple model based on a random selection process to explain the “uncitedness” phenomenon and its decline over the years. We show that the proportion of cited papers is a function of (1) the number of… CONTINUE READING
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