Modeling Legionnaires' disease outbreaks: estimating the timing of an aerosolized release using symptom-onset dates.

@article{Egan2011ModelingLD,
  title={Modeling Legionnaires' disease outbreaks: estimating the timing of an aerosolized release using symptom-onset dates.},
  author={Joseph R. Egan and Ian M. Hall and David J Lemon and Steve Leach},
  journal={Epidemiology},
  year={2011},
  volume={22 2},
  pages={188-98}
}
BACKGROUND Over the last 30 years, there have been a number of reported Legionnaires' disease outbreaks resulting from the release of causative organisms from aerosol-producing devices. METHODS We model a Legionnaires' disease epidemic curve as the convolution of an infection-time distribution (representing the aerosolized release) and an incubation-period distribution. The model is fitted to symptom-onset data from specific outbreaks to estimate the start and end dates of the release. We… CONTINUE READING

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