Model fitting in Multiple Systems Analysis for the quantification of Modern Slavery: Classical and Bayesian approaches

@article{Silverman2019ModelFI,
  title={Model fitting in Multiple Systems Analysis for the quantification of Modern Slavery: Classical and Bayesian approaches},
  author={Bernard W. Silverman},
  journal={arXiv: Applications},
  year={2019}
}
  • Bernard W. Silverman
  • Published 2019
  • Mathematics
  • arXiv: Applications
  • Multiple systems estimation is a key approach for quantifying hidden populations such as the number of victims of modern slavery. The UK Government published an estimate of 10,000 to 13,000 victims, constructed by the present author, as part of the strategy leading to the Modern Slavery Act 2015. This estimate was obtained by a stepwise multiple systems method based on six lists. Further investigation shows that a small proportion of the possible models give rather different answers, and that… CONTINUE READING

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