Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States.

@article{Germann2006MitigationSF,
  title={Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States.},
  author={T. Germann and K. Kadau and I. Longini and C. Macken},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
  year={2006},
  volume={103 15},
  pages={
          5935-40
        }
}
  • T. Germann, K. Kadau, +1 author C. Macken
  • Published 2006
  • Biology, Medicine
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Recent human deaths due to infection by highly pathogenic (H5N1) avian influenza A virus have raised the specter of a devastating pandemic like that of 1917-1918, should this avian virus evolve to become readily transmissible among humans. We introduce and use a large-scale stochastic simulation model to investigate the spread of a pandemic strain of influenza virus through the U.S. population of 281 million individuals for R(0) (the basic reproductive number) from 1.6 to 2.4. We model the… Expand
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