Misinterpretations of the “Cone of Uncertainty” in Florida during the 2004 Hurricane Season

@article{Broad2007MisinterpretationsOT,
  title={Misinterpretations of the “Cone of Uncertainty” in Florida during the 2004 Hurricane Season},
  author={K. Broad and A. Leiserowitz and J. Weinkle and M. Steketee},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  year={2007},
  volume={88},
  pages={651-667}
}
This article reviews the evolution, communication, and differing interpretations of the National Hurricane Center's “cone of uncertainty” hurricane forecast graphic. It concludes with a discussion of this graphic from the perspective of risk communication theory. The 2004 hurricane season, in which five named storms struck Florida, demonstrated that hurricane forecast graphics, despite admirable attempts by the forecast community to make user-friendly products, are still subject to… Expand
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