Methods to estimate the number of orphans as a result of AIDS and other causes in Sub-Saharan Africa.

@article{Grassly2005MethodsTE,
  title={Methods to estimate the number of orphans as a result of AIDS and other causes in Sub-Saharan Africa.},
  author={Nicholas C Grassly and Ian Timaeus},
  journal={Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes},
  year={2005},
  volume={39 3},
  pages={365-75}
}
OBJECTIVE To derive methods to estimate and project the fraction of children orphaned by AIDS and other causes. METHODS HIV/AIDS affects orphan numbers through increased adult and child mortality and reduced fertility of HIV-positive women. We extend an epidemiologic and demographic model used previously to estimate maternal orphans to paternal orphans. We account for the impact of HIV/AIDS on child survival by modeling the HIV status of the partners of men who die of AIDS or other causes… CONTINUE READING
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