Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data
@article{Dakos2012MethodsFD, title={Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data}, author={Vasilis Dakos and Stephen R. Carpenter and William A. Buz Brock and Aaron M. Ellison and Vishwesha Guttal and Anthony R. Ives and Sonia K{\'e}fi and Valerie N. Livina and David A. Seekell and Egbert H. van Nes and Marten Scheffer}, journal={PLoS ONE}, year={2012}, volume={7} }
Many dynamical systems, including lakes, organisms, ocean circulation patterns, or financial markets, are now thought to have tipping points where critical transitions to a contrasting state can happen. Because critical transitions can occur unexpectedly and are difficult to manage, there is a need for methods that can be used to identify when a critical transition is approaching. Recent theory shows that we can identify the proximity of a system to a critical transition using a variety of so…
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