Methodological Reconstruction of Historical Seismic Events From Anecdotal Accounts of Destructive Tsunamis: A Case Study for the Great 1852 Banda Arc Mega‐Thrust Earthquake and Tsunami

@article{Ringer2020MethodologicalRO,
  title={Methodological Reconstruction of Historical Seismic Events From Anecdotal Accounts of Destructive Tsunamis: A Case Study for the Great 1852 Banda Arc Mega‐Thrust Earthquake and Tsunami},
  author={H. Ringer and J. P. Whitehead and Justin Krometis and R. Harris and Nathan Glatt-Holtz and Spencer Giddens and C. Ashcraft and Gary A. Carver and Alastair H. F. Robertson and Meg L Harward and Jonathan Fullwood and K. Lightheart and Robert G. Hilton and A. A. Avery and C. Kesler and Mark J. Morrise and Matthew Henry Klein},
  journal={arXiv: Geophysics},
  year={2020}
}
We demonstrate the efficacy of a Bayesian statistical inversion framework for reconstructing the likely characteristics of large pre-instrumentation earthquakes from historical records of tsunami observations. Our framework is designed and implemented for the estimation of the location and magnitude of seismic events from anecdotal accounts of tsunamis including shoreline wave arrival times, heights, and inundation lengths over a variety of spatially separated observation locations. As an… 
Embracing Uncertainty in"Small Data"Problems: Estimating Earthquakes from Historical Anecdotes
We apply the Bayesian inversion process to make principled estimates of the magnitude and location of a pre-instrumental earthquake in Eastern Indonesia in the mid 19th century, by combining

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